WAC Pigskin Picks

16 10 2010

Last Week: 3-2  Overall: 22-6

Apparently, I should have taken last week off with the University of Idaho!  I only picked three out of five games, as Hawai’i and Louisiana Tech wrecked what I thought was going to be a perfect week.
Oh well, back to the drawing board…

Idaho (3-2) 30 at Louisiana Tech (1-4) 13 – 1:00 PM (ESPN3)
Line: IDHO by 1.5              Over/Under 56.0

  • Following a bye week, Idaho trips to Ruston, Louisiana, looking to move one step closer to clinching another bowl berth.
    After the Vandals allowed 36 points to Colorado State (the Rams have scored 47 points in their five other games combined) to wrap up September, head coach Robb Akey’s crew responded by dismantling Western Michigan on the road 33-13 to open up October.
    Despite the fact Louisiana Tech is coming off a big win (for them) over Utah State last week, Idaho has had seven extra days to prepare, and seven extra days to rest up.
    On top of that, Idaho’s knack for creating turnovers will be a huge factor in this game.  The Vandals are tied for 9th in the NCAA with 15 forced turnovers, while Louisiana Tech ranks 115th in turnovers lost (16).
    Playing a conference opponent over 2,000 miles away from home, that will be the difference.

#3 Boise State (5-0) 56 at San Jose State (1-5) 3 – 5:00 PM (ESPN3)
Line: BSU by 40.0              Over/Under: 56.0

  • Despite a tough preseason schedule, games like this are what ultimately doom Boise State.  The Broncos (who I’m confident will still open at #1 when the BCS rankings are released on Sunday) must take on one of the worst teams in the nation, as San Jose State’s only win came against a FCS-foe – and barely.
    Expect another New Mexico State like scored here Bronco fans, as head coach Chris Peterson will be able to rest his starters by the end of the third quarter.

New Mexico State 10 at Fresno State 38 – 7:30 PM (ESPNU)
Line: FRES by 31.0            Over/Under: 56.0

  • Following last week’s loss to Hawai’i, you have to imagine Fresno State’s confidence took a serious hit.  The Warriors torched the Bulldogs defense for 49 points, as Warrior quarterback Bryant Moniz racked up 376 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns.
    Luckily, Fresno State gets an opponent they can get back on track against.  Senior Ryan Colburn continues to prove he’s a capable quarterback, and has a big day early before giving way to the ground game.

#19 Nevada (6-0) 42 at Hawai’i (4-2) 34 – 8:30 PM (ESPN3)
Line: NEV by 7.0 Over/Under: 74.0

  • While these teams light up the scoreboard, they couldn’t go about their business any differently.  Hawai’i uses an aggressive aerial attack, while Nevada’s ground attack is one of the best in the nation.
    Hawai’i appears to be building momentum, as junior quarterback Bryant Moniz seems to be getting better by the week.  He currently leads the nation with 2,245 passing yards, as receivers Greg Salas and Kealoha Pilares have combined for 95 catches and 1,483 yards in just six games.
    On the other hand, the Wolfpack have been unstoppable on the ground (314.3 yd/gm – 5th in NCAA), as quarterback Colin Kaepernick (639 yards rushings) and runningback Vai Taua (837) have done most of the damage.
    The way I see it, Nevada is in the middle of their most successful season in at least 50 years, and will avoid an upset out on the island.
    No doubt the WAC matchup of the week. 
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