Beginning With A Bang

27 12 2010

Four games up, four games down.  So far, I’m a perfect 4-for-4 in bowl season.

One thing seems apparent through the nine total games that have been played – don’t bank of defenses.  Winning teams are averaging 41.0 points a game, with only two of those contests decided by less than 21-points.

This all plays into who I’m going with in today’s one and only game…

AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Air Force (8-4) vs. Georgia Tech (6-6) – 2:00 p.m. (ESPN 2)
Shreveport, LA
Line: AF by 3     Over/Under: 56

Don’t blink, or you might miss this one.  Both teams run the ball, and run the ball well.  Georgia Tech ranks number-1 in the country with 327.0 rushing yards a game, while Air Forced sits right behind them averaging 317.9.

While both teams feature 1,000-yard runningbacks, Anthony Allen is far surperior in my mind.  The north-and-south, 229-pound bruiser capped the season with back-to-back 165-yard performances and sophomore Orwin Smith (476 yds, 9.7 ydc) is a great change of pace.

Even though history suggests not to bet against military institutions during bowl season (22-9 since 1980) and even though three of Air Force’s four losses were to teams ranked in the top 10, the Falcons didn’t pick up an impressive victory all season.

Furthermore, Yellow Jackets head coach Paul Johnson beat the Falcons five straight times when he was at Navy, and the Yellow Jackets are 3-0 all-time against Air Force.

I’m calling upset number-two!

Final: Georgia Tech 31, Air Force 27

Previous Predictions:
Florida International over Toledo
Northern Illinois over Fresno State
BYU over UTEP
Troy over Ohio

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