Trust In Tust’s Prep Picks

15 10 2010

Week 7

Record
Last Week: 7-5  Overall: 23-11 (67.4%)

After choosing to bypass my picks two weeks ago, my return last Friday went about as well as Brett Favre’s decision to come back to the NFL this season.  While I went just 7-5, there is good news.  The national media isn’t chasing me down for sending inappropriate text messages to a co-worker and – last I check – my elbow is free of tendonitis.

Idaho 5A – Inland Empire League
#2 Coeur d’ Alene (5-1, 0-0) at Lewiston (4-2, 0-1) – 7 PM
A contest that was originally scheduled to take place tomorrow in Coeur d’ Alene, has instead turned into Lewiston’s homecoming game.
For Bengal fans, it’s a tough draw.  Coeur d’ Alene is stacked this season and has already knocked off two ranked teams.  Two weeks ago it was then #1 Mountain View 34-22, and last Friday it was now #5 Vallivue 37-20
If the Bengals thought they has their hands full with Lake City quarterback Mark Smyly last week, wait until you see Viking singal-caller Chad Chalich.  The junior is averaging 256.5 passing yards a game, with 18 touchdowns compared to just five interceptions.  Chalich also can make plays with his feet when things breakdown.
Offsetting him is possible the best running back in Idaho.  Senior tailback Zach Keiser is averaging a gaudy 8.1 yards a touch, and 130 a game.
One way Lewiston can slow down Coeur d’ Alene attack, it doing what Lake City did to the Bengals last week.  The Timberwolves used their ball-control offense to steadily put the purple haze to rest.  A steady does of Tyler Broemeling, Lucky Gaskill, Ryan Humphrey and Kyle Mai out of the backfield will help Lewiston move the chains and keep the ball.
unfortunately, I still don’t think that will be enough.

Prediction: Coeur d’ Alene 37 – Lewiston 21

Idaho 4A – Inland Empire League
Timberlake (2-4) at Moscow (4-2)
I’m starting to believe this is Moscow’s season to finally get back to the playoffs.  Even without starting quarterback Jake Helbling due to an injury, the Bears have posted two lopsided wins.  That won’t change this week, as head coach John Sheaff secures his third consecutive non-losing season.

Prediction: Timberlake 7 – Moscow 34

Washington 2A – Great Northern League
Clarkston (4-2) at Pullman (2-4) – 7 PM
The are two programs that are struggling, but in different ways.  Clarkston, who opened the season as the second-ranked team at the 2A classification, can’t score on offense.  While they Bantams have plenty of weapons, the line has been an issue, and a rash of injuries (and a player suspension) haven’t helped.
As for Pullman, they are a team that is clearly rebuilding.  A normal GNL powerhouse, lost 49-27 to lowly-Lakeland last week on the road.
As talking with both Colton Chase and Jordan Vaughan of Clarkston this week, they said the Bantams are starting to feel a sense of urgency.  I believe that will be enough to spark another league win. 

Prediction: Clarkston 21 – Pullman 7

Idaho 2A – Central Idaho League
Grangeville (5-1) at Kamiah (5-1)
Right here is the game of the week.  With the Central Idaho League title riding on the line, Grangeville needs a win in the worst way.  When these two teams met last month, the Kubs used an 84-yard touchdown pass from Jack Nygaard to secure a fourth quarter victory on the Bulldogs home field.
It’s going to take another effort like that to beat first head Grangeville head coach Jeff Lindsley twice in one season.  While I’m not one to bet against the former Boise State-standout, I’ve also learned not to bet against Nygaard.

Prediction: Grangeville 21 – Kamiah 28

Washington 2B
Asotin (4-1) at DeSales (3-2)
A classic Southeast League matchup, Asotin travels to Walla Walla to take on DeSales.  While a loss doesn’t necessarily hurt Asotin’s playoff chances (it would just make their game against Waitsburg-Prescott in two weeks a MUST! WIN!), the Irish would be all but eliminated.
I know that head coach Sal Lopez will diagram a strategy to keep his young-Panthers squad in the game, I just don’t think it will matchup DeSales sense of urgency.

Prediction: Asotin 20 – DeSales 28

Colfax (5-0) at LindRitzville (4-1)
Number-one meets number-two in the Northeast League standings.  Get ready to see just how big the gap between number-one and number-two is.  Colfax will play nice.

Prediction: Colfax 41 – LindRitzville 14

Idaho 1A – Whitepine League
Kendrick (3-2) at Potlatch (2-3)
I’ve been looking ahead to this game for three weeks now.  In my heart, I felt an 0-3 Potlatch team would get pass Deary and Clearwater Valley.  Although it took two fourth quarter comebacks, they did.
But Kendrick is just a scary team.  Sure they lack size, but they don’t lack speed and head coach Davey Steele calls a great game.
The winner of this game will all of a sudden have the inside track for the third and final playoff spot in the Whitepine League.
For the last two weeks, the Loggers have been playing like there is no tomorrow, mostly because if they lose, there isn’t.  They continue to ride that wave of emotion, but better plan on being physical against the Tigers.

Prediction: Kendrick 26 – Potlatch 38 (<— Probably my lease confident prediction)

Clearwater Valley (3-3, 3-2) at Troy (5-0)
Wow Troy has been tough this season.  Against a Deary team with twice as many players as the Trojans, head coach Rob Bafus’ crew beat up the Mustangs 62-12 last week.  Runningback Marshall Williams scored six touchdowns, upping his season 24 on the season (I’m pretty sure).
Clearwater Valley has had a great season for a program that hasn’t experienced a lot of success, but I believe the clock strikes mid-night on their season tonight.

Predriction: Clearwater Valley 12 – Troy 58

Genesee (3-2) at Deary (1-5)
After an upset on the road three weeks ago to Kendrick, Genesee bounced back following a bye with a win over Lewis County 34-12 last Friday.  While Deary’s playoff hopes are long gone, I still think the Mustangs are going to sneak up and ruin someones postseason hopes at some point this season.  Just not this week.
The Bulldogs needs this one more than anything with undefeated Troy looming on the schedule next Friday.

Prediction: Genesee 33 – Deary 21

Prairie (5-0) at Lewis County (2-4)
One thing you don’t want to do is give the Prairie football team any added motivation to be beat.  Lewis County made this mistake before the season even started, talking about how they were going to hand the Pirates their first league loss in three seasons.
You better believe Prairie head coach Travis Mader has put this up on the bulletin board.  And you better believe his boys are going to inflict some serious damage.  A team that will let up to prevent mercy-ruling teams (when it can), won’t this time.

Prediction: Prairie 52 – Lewis County 6

Washington 1B
Liberty Christian (5-0) at Colton (3-3)
After some early season struggles, Colton seemed to find themselves in last weeks 34-16 win over LaCrosse-Washtunca.
Now the Wildcats have to face unbeaten Liberty Christian, who have effortlessly transitioned to 8-man football.
Colton will give the private school out of Richland a contest, but in the end fall short.

Prediction: Liberty Christian 38 – Colton 27

GarPal (2-3) at Pomeroy (3-3)
Pomeroy seems to be getting the hang of this 8-man football thing.  In the last two weeks combine, the Pirates have scored 140 points.  (No, that’s not a typo.)
But Gar-Pal’s schedule to date has been downright tough.  The Vikings go to Pomeroy and end the Pirates two-game win streak.

Prediction: GarPal 34 – Pomeroy 22

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