Trust In Tust’s Prep Picks

15 10 2010

Week 7

Record
Last Week: 7-5  Overall: 23-11 (67.4%)

After choosing to bypass my picks two weeks ago, my return last Friday went about as well as Brett Favre’s decision to come back to the NFL this season.  While I went just 7-5, there is good news.  The national media isn’t chasing me down for sending inappropriate text messages to a co-worker and – last I check – my elbow is free of tendonitis.

Idaho 5A – Inland Empire League
#2 Coeur d’ Alene (5-1, 0-0) at Lewiston (4-2, 0-1) – 7 PM
A contest that was originally scheduled to take place tomorrow in Coeur d’ Alene, has instead turned into Lewiston’s homecoming game.
For Bengal fans, it’s a tough draw.  Coeur d’ Alene is stacked this season and has already knocked off two ranked teams.  Two weeks ago it was then #1 Mountain View 34-22, and last Friday it was now #5 Vallivue 37-20
If the Bengals thought they has their hands full with Lake City quarterback Mark Smyly last week, wait until you see Viking singal-caller Chad Chalich.  The junior is averaging 256.5 passing yards a game, with 18 touchdowns compared to just five interceptions.  Chalich also can make plays with his feet when things breakdown.
Offsetting him is possible the best running back in Idaho.  Senior tailback Zach Keiser is averaging a gaudy 8.1 yards a touch, and 130 a game.
One way Lewiston can slow down Coeur d’ Alene attack, it doing what Lake City did to the Bengals last week.  The Timberwolves used their ball-control offense to steadily put the purple haze to rest.  A steady does of Tyler Broemeling, Lucky Gaskill, Ryan Humphrey and Kyle Mai out of the backfield will help Lewiston move the chains and keep the ball.
unfortunately, I still don’t think that will be enough.

Prediction: Coeur d’ Alene 37 – Lewiston 21

Idaho 4A – Inland Empire League
Timberlake (2-4) at Moscow (4-2)
I’m starting to believe this is Moscow’s season to finally get back to the playoffs.  Even without starting quarterback Jake Helbling due to an injury, the Bears have posted two lopsided wins.  That won’t change this week, as head coach John Sheaff secures his third consecutive non-losing season.

Prediction: Timberlake 7 – Moscow 34

Washington 2A – Great Northern League
Clarkston (4-2) at Pullman (2-4) – 7 PM
The are two programs that are struggling, but in different ways.  Clarkston, who opened the season as the second-ranked team at the 2A classification, can’t score on offense.  While they Bantams have plenty of weapons, the line has been an issue, and a rash of injuries (and a player suspension) haven’t helped.
As for Pullman, they are a team that is clearly rebuilding.  A normal GNL powerhouse, lost 49-27 to lowly-Lakeland last week on the road.
As talking with both Colton Chase and Jordan Vaughan of Clarkston this week, they said the Bantams are starting to feel a sense of urgency.  I believe that will be enough to spark another league win. 

Prediction: Clarkston 21 – Pullman 7

Idaho 2A – Central Idaho League
Grangeville (5-1) at Kamiah (5-1)
Right here is the game of the week.  With the Central Idaho League title riding on the line, Grangeville needs a win in the worst way.  When these two teams met last month, the Kubs used an 84-yard touchdown pass from Jack Nygaard to secure a fourth quarter victory on the Bulldogs home field.
It’s going to take another effort like that to beat first head Grangeville head coach Jeff Lindsley twice in one season.  While I’m not one to bet against the former Boise State-standout, I’ve also learned not to bet against Nygaard.

Prediction: Grangeville 21 – Kamiah 28

Washington 2B
Asotin (4-1) at DeSales (3-2)
A classic Southeast League matchup, Asotin travels to Walla Walla to take on DeSales.  While a loss doesn’t necessarily hurt Asotin’s playoff chances (it would just make their game against Waitsburg-Prescott in two weeks a MUST! WIN!), the Irish would be all but eliminated.
I know that head coach Sal Lopez will diagram a strategy to keep his young-Panthers squad in the game, I just don’t think it will matchup DeSales sense of urgency.

Prediction: Asotin 20 – DeSales 28

Colfax (5-0) at LindRitzville (4-1)
Number-one meets number-two in the Northeast League standings.  Get ready to see just how big the gap between number-one and number-two is.  Colfax will play nice.

Prediction: Colfax 41 – LindRitzville 14

Idaho 1A – Whitepine League
Kendrick (3-2) at Potlatch (2-3)
I’ve been looking ahead to this game for three weeks now.  In my heart, I felt an 0-3 Potlatch team would get pass Deary and Clearwater Valley.  Although it took two fourth quarter comebacks, they did.
But Kendrick is just a scary team.  Sure they lack size, but they don’t lack speed and head coach Davey Steele calls a great game.
The winner of this game will all of a sudden have the inside track for the third and final playoff spot in the Whitepine League.
For the last two weeks, the Loggers have been playing like there is no tomorrow, mostly because if they lose, there isn’t.  They continue to ride that wave of emotion, but better plan on being physical against the Tigers.

Prediction: Kendrick 26 – Potlatch 38 (<— Probably my lease confident prediction)

Clearwater Valley (3-3, 3-2) at Troy (5-0)
Wow Troy has been tough this season.  Against a Deary team with twice as many players as the Trojans, head coach Rob Bafus’ crew beat up the Mustangs 62-12 last week.  Runningback Marshall Williams scored six touchdowns, upping his season 24 on the season (I’m pretty sure).
Clearwater Valley has had a great season for a program that hasn’t experienced a lot of success, but I believe the clock strikes mid-night on their season tonight.

Predriction: Clearwater Valley 12 – Troy 58

Genesee (3-2) at Deary (1-5)
After an upset on the road three weeks ago to Kendrick, Genesee bounced back following a bye with a win over Lewis County 34-12 last Friday.  While Deary’s playoff hopes are long gone, I still think the Mustangs are going to sneak up and ruin someones postseason hopes at some point this season.  Just not this week.
The Bulldogs needs this one more than anything with undefeated Troy looming on the schedule next Friday.

Prediction: Genesee 33 – Deary 21

Prairie (5-0) at Lewis County (2-4)
One thing you don’t want to do is give the Prairie football team any added motivation to be beat.  Lewis County made this mistake before the season even started, talking about how they were going to hand the Pirates their first league loss in three seasons.
You better believe Prairie head coach Travis Mader has put this up on the bulletin board.  And you better believe his boys are going to inflict some serious damage.  A team that will let up to prevent mercy-ruling teams (when it can), won’t this time.

Prediction: Prairie 52 – Lewis County 6

Washington 1B
Liberty Christian (5-0) at Colton (3-3)
After some early season struggles, Colton seemed to find themselves in last weeks 34-16 win over LaCrosse-Washtunca.
Now the Wildcats have to face unbeaten Liberty Christian, who have effortlessly transitioned to 8-man football.
Colton will give the private school out of Richland a contest, but in the end fall short.

Prediction: Liberty Christian 38 – Colton 27

GarPal (2-3) at Pomeroy (3-3)
Pomeroy seems to be getting the hang of this 8-man football thing.  In the last two weeks combine, the Pirates have scored 140 points.  (No, that’s not a typo.)
But Gar-Pal’s schedule to date has been downright tough.  The Vikings go to Pomeroy and end the Pirates two-game win streak.

Prediction: GarPal 34 – Pomeroy 22

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Trojans Run Away From Eagles

18 09 2010

Troy 42, Lewis County 0

NEZPERCE — Even after outscoring their opponents 98-0 through their first two games of the season, Troy head coach Rob Bafus still said his team had something to prove.

“I thought we needed to work on our ground game,” said the second-year head coach.  “To play with Genesee, Prairie (and the other teams at the top of the league), we’re going to have to be able to run the ball.”

It seems the boys passed with flying colors.  Senior running back Marshall Williams carried the rock a season-high 22 times, enroute to 221 yards rushing and five touchdowns, upping his season total to 15 in just three games.

“He had to work a little bit tonight,” said the exuberant coach.

Junior Kaden Hoskins added another 63 yards on 11 carries, as the line provide plenty of holes to for their runningbacks to roam free.

“I wanted to see what we could do and I challenged our offensive line.  We only threw the ball probably five times tonight,” added Bafus.  “They did a great job.”

The only thing that may have been more impress than that was the defense.  Troy remains the only team in the Whitepine League yet to allow a point this season, as they posted their third straight shutout.

“Our defense is just nails.  Our defensive coordinator has done an excellent job,” Bafus commented about assistant coach Guy Wells.  “He took last year off.  We couldn’t play defense last year.  He was born to coach.”

When asked what he would’ve said in the preseason if told him his team wouldn’t allow a single point over the first three games of the season: “I’ll take that and head to Vegas.  It speaks volumes to what Wells has done.”





Prep Pigskin Picks

17 09 2010

Week 3

5A IEL vs 2A GNL
Pullman at Lewiston – 7 PM
          Both the Greyhounds and the Bengals are coming  off two tough losses that couldn’t be more different.  Hosting rival Moscow, Pullman was blown out 35-0, as the Bengals barely lost on the road to Merdian 28-24.
          It’s clearly evident the former perennial power of the GNL is in a rebuilding year, while Lewiston on the other hand is just reloading.  Senior Bengal quarterback Beau Kerns can beat you with his arm or legs, in this case it’ll be with both…

Prediction: Pullman 7 – Lewiston 35

4 IEL vs 2A GNL
Moscow at Clarkston – 7 PM
          I believe this is the most intriguing game of the week.  Both squads are awfully talented in their respective leagues with plenty of playmakers in the backfield.  At runningback, Bantam senior Colby Hansen enters the contest fresh off a five touchdown performance, while Bear senior Justin Parkins visited the endzone three times and racked up 240 yards rushing last week against Pullman.
          At quarterback, seniors Brady Arnone and Jake Helbling square off.  While they have different styles of play (Arnone’s a passer… Helbling’s a runner), both offer plenty of poise and leadership.
          The outcome of this game should be a tell-tale sign of how each will fare in league play.  Last week, Clarkston beat Sandpoint – a member of the 4A Inland Empire League – while Moscow crushed Pullman – a member of the 2A Great Northern League.  Should the Bears knock off the Bantams, it should give them the confidence this is finally the year they get past Sandpoint and into the playoffs.  With that in mind…

Prediction: Moscow 28 – Clarkston 34

2B Southeast
Asotin at Tekoa-Oakesdale-Rosalia – 7 PM
         
After suffering their worst loss since anyone can remember, look for the Panthers to flush that memory and get into the win column to kickoff league play.  Last week, Grangeville ranked up 67 points on Asotin’s defense, but knowing the mastermind that Panthers head coach Sal Lopez is, he’ll use that to fire up his troops and play much better on both sides of the ball this week.

Prediction: Asotin 38 – Tekoa-Oakesdale-Rosalia 20

2B Northeast
Davenport at Colfax – 7 PM
         
Short and simple here.  Colfax is good.  No way to do they suffer a slip up here.  QB Alex Teade and RB Tyler McNannay will make it look easy…

Prediction: Davenport 18 – Colfax 48

2A CIL
Orofino at Kamiah – 7 PM 
         
Dipping back down to the 2A level, Orofino was expected to compete this season.  After dropping their first two games, the Maniacs got a much needed ego-boost by beating Kellogg 30-13 last week.
          But playing the matchup game, Orofino lost to McCall-Donnelly 16-6 in their season opener, a team the Kubs clubs 53-0 last week.  Throw in the fact the Maniacs will be without their leading rusher…

Prediction: Orofino 12 – Kamiah 34

1A Whitepine League
Kendrick at Clearwater Valley – 7 PM
         
Coming off a 42-6 shellacking of Lewis County, a young Tigers teeam should have plenty of confidence as they head out on the road to face Clearwater Valley.  With that in mind, after providing the upset of the week in the Whitepine last Friday, I think the Rams are going to return the favor this week.  Senior runningback Cody Charley is as quick as anyone in the Whitepine, and will lead his team to back-to-back victories at home for the first time since who-knows-when.  It’ll be close though…

Prediction: Kendrick 26 – Clearwater Valley 33

Troy at Lewis County – 3 PM
         
After starting the season 2-0, it appears Lewis Country got a bit ahead of themselves heading into last weeks matchup with Kendrick.  While the Eagles have more overall talent and depth than the Tigers, Kendrick provided the ‘Whitepine League shocker of the week’ with a 42-6 victory.
          Troy on the other hand has been nothing short of dominant so far.  With senior runningback Marshall Williams leading the way, head coach Rob Bafus’ crew has an unwavering demeanor no matter how much they’ve accomplished so far…

Prediction: Troy 58 – Lewis County 24

Deary at Lapwai – 7 PM
         
Both the Mustangs and Wildcats have had disappointing starts.  Deary was upset by Clearwater Valley 28-24 to kickoff their season, then ran into juggernaut Prairie and fell 64-22.  As for Lapwai, not much has gone right for them.  Head coach Ricky Hernandez has been battling injuries, and his plug-and-play offense has been outscored 140-24.
          While Hernandez will try to continue motivating his team to compete, that appears to be something a senior-laden Mustangs squad already understands…

Prediction: Deary 38 – Lapwai 12

Prairie at Potlatch – 7 PM
         
Potlatch has had an incredibly tough draw to start the season.  After receiving a bye in week one, their game against Timberline was cancelled in week two, which means they didn’t even play their first contest of the season until last Friday.  While C.J. Keasal and company showed flashes of brilliance, they still looked like a team playing in a game that counted for the first time, as Genesee beat them 36-28.
          Now they have to face Prairie, who has been nothing short of dominant so far this Fall.  The Pirates have outscored their opponents 110-42, as senior runningback Devin Schmidt has lived up to the hype with back-to-back 200-yards, 5-touchdown performances.
          Personally, I think the Loggers have a good chance to win every game from here on out… starting after this one…

Prediction: Prairie 52 – Potlatch 26

1B Northeast
Joseph (Ore.) vs Colton – 7 PM (at Kibbie Dome)
         
For the second straight year, Joseph and Colton will battle in the Kibbe Dome thanks to a contection the team from eastern Oregon has with Idaho head football coach Robb Akey.
          When they met last season, the Wildcats hung 89 points on the board, as senior Sam Robertson visited the endzone seven times alone.  With Robertson now gone, don’t expect Colton to touch that number, but then again, they won’t really need to…

Prediction: Joseph 26 – Colton 58





Trojans Show No Mercy In Opener

4 09 2010

Troy 50, Kendrick 0

TROY — Coming into this fall, many coaches around the Whitepine League said the Troy Trojans (1-0) were the team to beat.  In their season opener Friday night, they showed why with a 50-0 victory over Kendrick.

Trying to set the tone early, Tigers head coach Davey Steele attempted an onside kick to open the game.  Unfortunately for him, he got the exact opposite result he was looking for.  After the Trojans recovered, senior quarterback Hayden Kanikkeberg found junior end Nate Illi for a 46-yard scoring strike on the first play from scrimmage.  “That set the tone,” said Troy head coach Rob Bafus.

Behind a balanced offensive attack, the Trojans passed for 193 yards and ran for another 191 as they inflicted the 45-point mercy rule just over three minutes into the third quarter.

Senior tailback Marshall Williams led Troy in rushing with 167 yards on 13 carries, and visited the endzone three times.  Kanikkeberg was equally effective through the air, completing 7-of-11 passes for 193 yards.  Overall, Bafus said he was happy with his team’s performance.

“We had a lot of penalties and need to tighten that up, but that’s probably just me trying to find something,” said Bafus.  “This team has the chance to be something special.”